I’ve gotten thousands* of e-mails over the past few days
asking me to compare US Open phenom CiCi Bellis to a sandwich. My automatic
reaction to Bellis was to dislike her because I hate happiness. Bellis’ first
tennis memory is watching Maria Sharapova, who made her grand slam debut in
2003. My first tennis memory is watching Andre Agassi, who made his grand slam
debut in 1986. Related story: I hate teenagers.
* All e-mail statistics approximate.
Bellis’ win over Dominika Cibulkova was really
impressive—Cibulkova is a really good player who, it seems hard to believe, was
neck-in-neck with Li Na in the first set of a grand slam final just 7
months ago. Despite my natural pessimism, it’s hard to call this a
fluke—Bellis played a three-setter in her next-round loss to Zarina Diyas, and
she has a number of U-18 wins under her belt already, including the USTA
national championships, Les Petits As, and a runner-up in the French Open
doubles. Bellis’ results show that she clearly has the talent to be a
professional.
Despite these good results, it’s impossible to accurately
predict Bellis’ career. Bellis has already drawn comparisons
to the likes of Seles and Nadal as teenagers, but tennis is littered with
prodigies who never became the champions they were supposed to become. Bellis
is the youngest player since
Kournikova to win a US Open Match, and Kournikova eventually was relegated
to becoming a singles journeyman / doubles specialist / model. Fellow young
prodigies like Nicole Vaidisova, Kathy Rinaldi, and 9-year-old magazine cover
star Richard
Gasquet all had big ambitions as teenagers before settling as week-to-week
players. Donald Young was one of the most hyped young players in American
before generating headlines with phrases like "Historic
Losing Streak."
After careful consideration, I think Bellis is not a
sandwich at all, but rather raw ingredients. (CORRECTION: Investigative journalism
has revealed that Bellis is actually a human being.) Bellis’ best comp is a can
of tuna. I doubt Bellis will end up like Young for a number of reasons, chief
among them that the men’s tour was historically strong when Young turned pro,
whereas Bellis is playing during a turbulent time when anyone going on
two-week-long hot streak can make a run at a grand slam. The worst-case
scenario for her career is what I’m calling the Tuna Sandwich Tier, home to the
likes of Gasquet, Vaidisova, and Rinaldi—the professionals who win a title or
two a year and make a deep run in a few grand slams. With a little luck and
hard work, she could end up with a couple grand slams, become a perennial
top-ten player, and most prestigiously, retire as a member of the Tuna Melt tier,
AKA the Lleyton Hewitt Club. And who knows, maybe Bellis will join the delicious
Pan Bagnat tier and fulfill the comparisons to Nadal. First she has to
graduate high school.
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